Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.469840 0.549604 0.639174 0.747293 0.874397 1.019233 1.197033
2024-12-15 0.354629 0.461344 0.594844 0.774549 1.010840 1.311932 1.726336
2024-12-22 0.286733 0.400941 0.554723 0.777794 1.094654 1.530933 2.181320
2024-12-29 0.244984 0.363208 0.532195 0.792744 1.187016 1.765617 2.687083
2025-01-05 0.206587 0.321929 0.495414 0.777251 1.227573 1.925775 3.103214
2025-01-12 0.178699 0.291087 0.467979 0.769092 1.274255 2.097178 3.558539
2025-01-19 0.158831 0.269394 0.450774 0.773031 1.338433 2.302399 4.097996
2025-01-26 0.148846 0.262240 0.455670 0.813517 1.468573 2.634746 4.908166
2025-02-02 0.139664 0.254932 0.458848 0.850638 1.596931 2.980635 5.796420
2025-02-09 0.129835 0.244948 0.455634 0.875023 1.704271 3.301687 6.686687
2025-02-16 0.119214 0.231963 0.444993 0.883376 1.781140 3.573954 7.521178
2025-02-23 0.108377 0.217080 0.428701 0.878036 1.829226 3.794559 8.281536
2025-03-02 0.096859 0.199642 0.405739 0.857129 1.844609 3.955214 8.951372
2025-03-09 0.091827 0.194866 0.407796 0.889165 1.978269 4.388365 10.309709
2025-03-16 0.084767 0.184843 0.397551 0.892894 2.049549 4.694064 11.423118
2025-03-23 0.079605 0.178234 0.393685 0.910134 2.153824 5.089613 12.821117
2025-03-30 0.072322 0.165943 0.375719 0.892268 2.172440 5.285784 13.752892
2025-04-06 0.066443 0.156132 0.362130 0.882860 2.210120 5.533545 14.861748
2025-04-13 0.062080 0.149339 0.354693 0.887402 2.283348 5.881125 16.300319
2025-04-20 0.060636 0.149403 0.363576 0.934091 2.472269 6.556084 18.770558
2025-04-27 0.058983 0.148736 0.370576 0.976910 2.657477 7.250105 21.425369
2025-05-04 0.056618 0.145966 0.371957 1.005043 2.806915 7.869642 23.976499
2025-05-11 0.053510 0.140887 0.366794 1.014680 2.905949 8.362755 26.234577